D-day: The End Game (GME and AMC)
D-Day: What is at Stake, the future is yours to
determine:
Hello everybody, it’s been a while; as it’s been a
while here are the previous DD’s for credibility if you have no idea who I am
(totally cool, idc for fame):
i)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hgwVI3DgRRQ&t=3197s
ii)
https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/movevb/dance_of_darkness_the_sec_and_dark_pools/
To the new apes that have joined this socio-economic
movement with the intent to a) balance the playing field for the little guy b)
make capital of this short squeeze, welcome; this will be a quick and brief DD,
and I will cut straight to the point.
I speculate Citadel will use their power over the
order flow in conjunction with their market maker status to break the apes
psychologically, and if they manage to force enough of the apes out we will
lose, plain and simple. The tried and tested war plan remains (and I will be
brutally honest with you guys, this is financial World War 3 plain and simple,
and they are about to nuke us in my opinion): buy and hold so that shorts can’t
cover and will implode; as such in order for them to survive this movement
needs to die. To achieve this they will throw this movement through
psychological hell. This has been happening for the last couple of months by
them effectively engineering social toxicity: This tweet represents the broad
sentiment of the public towards: https://twitter.com/K_R_Hamblin/status/1414121855573766144?s=19 (not bashing, using it as an example of the toxic
subculture of amc). This is starkly different from the psychology Hedgefunds
fear which is the following attitude: https://old.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvw77x/everyone_holding_a_share_of_gme_needs_to_see_this/ (a good clip from our Lord and Savior DFV). This kind
of attitude is what Hedgefunds fear the most.
As such let me get to the point: they will be using
psychological tricks in conjunction with extreme price volatility produced by
the market maker to beat you apes out of your position and force you to sell
before it hits the high xxx or high xxxx numbers (you hopefully already chose
your price). If you sell out it’s game over, we lose, we stay financial slaves
forever and they will laugh just like they did last time:
Now you may ask me, Umu68 how do they control the
price, now as is customary for my papers I will always be providing the
sources. As such let us take a deep dive into the enemy camp, Citadel’s camp
and their High Frequency Trading Algorithms and the legal loopholes they have
effectively used to make this thing into a multi trillion dollar mess, that is
at an ever so critical point (the argument I’m using applies to both GME and
AMC meme stocks, it’s the same stock):
First Sources:
i)
joic-04-2017-0019_8757744610889.pdf (mmlawus.com)
ii)
Key Points About Regulation SHO (sec.gov)
iii)
SEC chair criticizes payment for order flow - Protocol
— The people, power and politics of tech
iv)
SEC.gov | Testimony Before the House Committee on
Financial Services
v)
Disclosure of Order Handling Information (sec.gov)
vi)
Execution, Clearing, and Settlement (thismatter.com)
viii)
https://www.ft.com/content/dc3f8fb5-62e7-4774-98bb-28db801589ee
ix)
firm_116797.pdf (finra.org)
x)
Disciplinary_Actions_September_2020.pdf (finra.org)
xi)
Trade Execution - Overview, Methods, Restrictions
(corporatefinanceinstitute.com)
xii)
Alternative Trading System (ATS) - Overview, Types,
and Examples (corporatefinanceinstitute.com)
xiii)
SEC.gov | Trade Execution:
xiv)
Executing an Order | Investor.gov
xv)
Market Makers - Level 2 Day Trading Strategies
(investorsunderground.com)
xvi)
Chicago billionaire Ken Griffin splits Citadel into
two companies (chicagobusiness.com)
xvii)
Investment Strategies - Citadel
xix)
15 Well-Known High-Frequency Trading Firms | by Evan
Akutagawa | Automation Generation | Medium
xxi)
EnhancingCompetitionTransparencyandResiliencyinUSFinancialMarkets.pdf
xxiii)
Small-fish-big-prize-The-Market-makers-out-to-eat-the-banks.pdf
(citadel.com)
xxiv)
SEC.gov | SEC Orders Virtu to Pay $1.5 Million Penalty
for Violations of Regulation SCI
xxv)
New SEC Chairman Sets Sights on Citadel Securities and
Virtu - WSJ
xxvi)
Panelist Bios (sec.gov)
xxvii)
s71419-6788704-208239.pdf (sec.gov)
Now that the sources have been established (apologies this would be thorough but we are on a timer); let’s work through this:
How do they legally do this (source: joic-04-2017-0019_8757744610889.pdf (mmlawus.com) :
As you can see in those
legally binding documents, it gives the Market makers; Virtu Financial and
Citadel Securities for all intents and purposes legally allowed to naked short
a stock to oblivion under the guise of “good faith” market making in order to
“control market volatility”, i.e. hold stocks hostage and determine who gets
how wealthy and at what rate (These guys are diabolical geniuses, DON’T
underestimate the enemy, because they WILL NO LONGER underestimate you).
These legal loop holes
and the assumption by the SEC that market makers will operate under “good
faith”, here allow them to generate synthetic shares in order to “sell short
thinly traded, illiquid stock in response to customer demand may encounter
difficulty in obtaining securities when the time for delivery arrives ” (Key Points About Regulation SHO (sec.gov)),
i.e. generate synthetics to short the stock down in the name of controlling
volatility to legally manage the market as the market maker as the float of the
stock runs out. This interference in the price discovery process prevents you
from collecting your tendies.
As such, this system was
set up to be prone to abuse on the assumption that the market makers, who have
to make money, would not rig it so that they would make money. But wait,
there’s more:
You may be asking why haven’t we squeezed already, we
have been continually buying up the stock for 7 months straight and the float
allegedly multiple times over(no way to prove this without a hard forensic
audit which will come if we win I speculate); how is it that we are still
moving down? The answers to that question are are:
i)
Order flow delay
ii)
Payment for Order Flow
iii) High Frequency Trading Algorithms
Lets start with number i)
OFD and ii) PFOF:
Sources: SEC.gov | Testimony Before the House Committee on Financial Services
Sources: https://www.ft.com/content/dc3f8fb5-62e7-4774-98bb-28db801589ee, https://www.reuters.com/business/meme-stock-prices-may-not-properly-reflect-demand-nyse-president-2021-06-16/,
Sorry to be laconic
instead of apollonian (blunt rather than extreme logic and feedback loops),
these sources effectively show Citadel as well as Virtu financial effectively
using FTD’s, payment for order flow and order delays to control the price and
keep them in a separate cloud-like repository (just like this one: MarketAxess automates repo trade
confirmation with Citadel and JP Morgan - The TRADE (thetradenews.com)),
effectively building a secondary book where the payments are diverted to. They
get this information by paying for retail information (PFOF) through brokers
like webull, robinhood, e-toro, generally any broker that doesn’t take
commissions and simply sells your data. Check the sources above to see how you
are affected exactly.
As
such by using the information that they pay for they delay the orders by x
days, park them in an external repository to effectively keep the orders off
the exchange, and as people sell in an affected stock they re-merge the books
by once more taking the other side of the trade, effectively controlling
volatility and hence “arbitrage” your tendies, if this information is being fed
to their LLC’s via propriety trading. (EnhancingCompetitionTransparencyandResiliencyinUSFinancialMarkets.pdf,
SEC.gov | SEC Orders Virtu to Pay $1.5
Million Penalty for Violations of Regulation SCI,
New SEC Chairman Sets Sights on Citadel
Securities and Virtu - WSJ, Investment Strategies - Citadel)
It would qualify as a direct conflict of interest and
consequently cancel out the “good faith” status and finally put a legal end to
this mess. This however is such is a legal nightmare to prove without them
going bankrupt first. As shown Virtu and Citadel combined have around 80% of
the retail market cornered, they must be taken down and beaten at their own
game to restore market freedom - this can be effectively done by overwhelming
the depository system (which apes have almost done, but the boxcar functions
have effectively broken the psychological health of the average ape, there is
more coming, I’ll elaborate). If the system is overwhelmed, retail traders
finally get justice for financial treason for the however many years this
system has been around.
Now let’s tackle the final piece of how they are
fighting you and with which weaponry: High Frequency Trading Algorithms
managing the order flow (it’s a pretty simple piece of code designed to break
you psychologically; and as seen from social media, which they track by the
way, their about to break apes, up to apes if they want to be broken though,
make your own decisions; I’m just a dude on the internet)
Let’s take a look at our foes, from the list below we
can determine the head enemy armies are present:
15 Well-Known High-Frequency Trading Firms | by Evan Akutagawa | Automation Generation | Medium
We’ve seen these 3 in the past 7 months act maliciously
or with hostile intent against retail in one form or the other, so the talk of
if you’re up against just Citadel, you are incorrect; You are up against 3
enemy armies and this is the plains of Sekigahra (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Sekigahara
) and the armies of the Tokugawa shogunate (market makers) are pouring down
with their final push (you will be through mental hell trust me, up to you if
you want too fold, if you don’t they’ll implode); whether you retreat like
Satsuma did (https://www.senganen.jp/en/2020/09/sekigahara-shimadzu-yoshihiro/
) or finish this like the apes you’ve been so far is up to you.
The reason why I wanted to clarify this is so apes
understand who exactly they are dealing with, as they have been studying you
over these past 7 months:
Know the enemy and know yourself in a hundred battles you will never be in peril. When you are ignorant of the enemy but know yourself, your chances of winning or losing are equal. If ignorant both of your enemy and of yourself, you are certain in every battle to be in peril. - Sun Tzu.
The market makers believe they know you and know themselves, and are readying to come in for the killing blow, will you give them a chance, that's up to you.
Here's they've been cornering you through attrition so far (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boxcar_function ):
Now UMU you may as, what the hell are these boxes, well their quite literally boxes; these are boxcar functions. They are usually used in electrical engineering to regulate voltages between “resistance levels” to form effective brackets of voltages. Introduce this function (the equations are above) to payment to order flow and you get the images below:
As you can see, there are boxes that are being
regulated by resistance levels like boxcar functions, and as such follow the
mathematical definitions of boxcar functions. As such, the way to break the ape
army on the money maker end would be to do a couple things:
i)
First push unrealistic expectations
coupled with predictable price consolidation (boxcars) to exhaust apes mentally
(it’s been a draining fight let’s be absolutely honest with all the bs going
on, and it’s ok to be livid, it’s the direction of the anger their concerned
with)
ii)
Encourage swinging (its your financial
decision, completely up to you), but like DFV said (https://old.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvw77x/everyone_holding_a_share_of_gme_needs_to_see_this/
) ; sideways trading and boxcars, are excellent forms to add to your position
(in his words “who gives a shit”), if retail traders do this simultaneously
instead of selling their positions, the market makers are finished. Every time
a share is sold allows them to get out, and hence last week they got off the
Threshold list (got to be brutally honest guys, that’s just how it is)
iii)
Now that everybody has been mentally
exhausted and the shares float of the stock are lose/softened up; drop the
stock hard, think high 20’s (we are going to run extreme examples), and then
have it rise to 100-300’s and boxcar them there for a couple weeks or even drop
it again, apes become terrified and sell effectively not being able to handle
more money than they ever had disappearing on a cyclical basis, so when it
reaches the top, apes view it as their last chance to get out, and BINGO,
shares are acquired, FTD’s are delivered and synthetics are destroyed; Game
Over to MOASS.
As such, let me put it
bluntly and clarify, you will jump to the triple digits, and they will boxcar
us there and then drop all the way down again, rinse and repeat as shown with
the boxcars from 63-48, and 77-38, as well as good old reliable 63-53 in order
to shake apes out of the stock.
Ape’s will effectively
see their account balances go up and down hundreds of thousands if not millions
with each rinse, HOWEVER, if Apes don’t sell the secondary repository as
indicated by the documents mentioned in this DD, on the inevitable merge that
price skyrockets, they get thrown on the threshold list again and this time
once the full 13 trading days are complete you will watch them implode. Don’t
listen to no dates, watch the price levels and algorithmic temporal patterns.
This is war and their coming hard, up to you to defend.
And just like in war, as
soon as the battle truly starts the enemy will use every deceptive force you
to fold. To come to a close a list of possible fuckery that they can pull to
deceive you:
- Order Flow delay
- Suppressing SI% by using
synthetic shares to “close out” (they
know we look at ORTEX and the like)
- High Darkpool volume to
manufacture “evidence” for closed out short position
- T+X Settlement cycle to
hammer the stock price down
As such, TLDR: they’ve
used legal loopholes to short the stock using synthetically generated shares to
the point where the shares outstanding is anything but what’s reported (27x is
a number been thrown around a lot, so see if you can hunt that down). We can
verify there is another digital repository and they’ve been delaying orders by following
their footsteps (who knows by how long, by resetting FTD’s, sources above). We
aren’t up against a single devil, we are up against potentially 3 and more
smaller demons (think Citadel backing up Melvin, there are way more Melvins)
being guarded by these market makers, as they guard the capital of the 1% of
America that laugh at the “stupid” 99% while rigging everything in their favor.
D-Day has arrived, they will try to shake your conviction, if the vast majority
of apes hold they will implode hard and you will have you xxxx price or xxxxx
price.
There is no concrete
timeline, this would’ve been over by now if the psychological warfare was
ineffective in their eyes but here we are.
So, it boils down to 1
question; are ape’s willing to be enslaved, as they have been through modern
history to the billionaire suit class, or will apes break human history and
beat the masters at their own rigged game, sack the financial gates and rebuild
the globe in their image?
Remember, when you are
struggling, with the entire planet and society falling apart, as you struggled
through a pandemic, financial destitution (Trey had to live in the back of his
car for God’ sakes to make ends meet), always, ALWAYS remember this:
They have and always have been laughing at you, when
they put you through another Boxcar hell they will also be laughing at you,
question is: will you be the joke this time or will you make them cry?
Lastly, I’ll leave you with this quote from one of my series (I’ll let you figure out which one it is):
The world is both beautiful and cruel, as such if you win you live, if you lose you die; the only way to win is to fight, the choice to fight is yours.
Thank you for your time, and best of luck, this is the final stretch, I’m betting you will win, I wish you all good fortune.
For my people at GME, this paper was focused around AMC; however you are veterans at this boxcar war, and have stepped toe to toe with the devil; as such you already know the drill; If AMC implodes their system, you bet GME is coming up next (you hold the float and you determine the price).
Disclaimer: None of this is financial advice nor
intended to influence the price, the sources have been provided extensively
with mathematical examples, as well as legally binding articles.
From my cold dead fingers....
ReplyDeleteI'm not going to sell a single stock until I see the Wall Street dogs go broke. I'd rather lose my money than see how the rest of my life laughs at me.
ReplyDelete